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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar hit 1.05 upwards, rising by 0.33% in the day.Morgan Stanley raised the opening target price from $950.00 to $1,150.00.

Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.China Football Association: All the three-level professional leagues in 2024 have achieved the expected goals. At the media briefing held on the 13th, Yang Xu, vice chairman of China Football Association, gave a briefing on the overall situation of the three-level professional leagues in 2024. Yang Xu said that all the events in the Super League, China A and China B have achieved the expected goals, the technical and tactical level has been steadily improved, the competition discipline has been significantly improved, and the ball market and attention have continued to improve. Yang Xu said that in 2024, the competitive level of the league has improved significantly. Among them, the core technical data such as the average net game time, average running distance, high-intensity running distance and total goals in the Super League are higher than those in the 2023 season and the 2019 season before the epidemic, and the quality of the league has rebounded in an all-round way. In addition, the average playing time and scoring rate of U21 players in the third-level professional league have been significantly improved. (Xinhua News Agency)The Baltic dry bulk freight index fell 0.38% to 1051 points.

The hospital ship "Square Boat" ended its visit to Djibouti and went to Sri Lanka. On the 13th, local time, the hospital ship "Square Boat" of China Navy, which carried out the "Harmonious Mission -2024" mission, successfully ended its visit to Djibouti and went to Sri Lanka, the next stop of this mission. (Xinhua News Agency)U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."Market News: Russian President Vladimir Putin will extend the ban on the sale of petroleum and petroleum products against the crude oil price ceiling until June 30, 2025.